PostNL Q1 2026 trading update

Highlights Q1 2026

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PostNL

•   Revenue came in at €781 million (Q1 2025: €782 million)

•   Normalised EBIT and free cash flow development in line with expectations and followed usual seasonal pattern

•   Outlook 2026 confirmed

Segments

E-commerce: progress of targeted yield measures, demonstrated by a 4.1% increase in average price per parcel

•  revenue at €451 million (Q1 2025: €473 million), driven by positive price/mix impact offset by 7.1% volume decline

•  domestic volumes down 5.5%, primarily due to weaker market growth related to lower consumer spending compared with last year and limited loss in market share as expected

•  international volumes, mainly from Asian webshops, down 13.2%, reflecting weaker market growth and temporary pressure following deliberate contract negotiations under PostNL’s volume-to-value strategy

Platforms: accelerating international growth

•  revenue €185 million (Q1 2025: €181 million), up 2.6% (up 5.9% at constant currencies)

•  1.2% volume growth, mainly comprising 9.6% growth in European volumes partly offset by the earlier-mentioned decline in volumes from Asian webshops

Mail: preparations for transition to standard mail delivery within two days on track

•  revenue €316 million (Q1 2025: €309 million)

•  trend of structural volume decline continued with volume decline of 8.0% (excluding election mail)

CEO Statement

Pim Berendsen, CEO of PostNL, commented: ”Entering 2026, I am pleased to see that our strategic initiatives are progressing according to plan in a challenging operating environment. We are fully focused on disciplined execution of our new strategy as set out in our Capital Markets Days last September.“At the same time, geopolitical uncertainty has intensified external challenges, weighing on consumer confidence, domestic consumption and fuel prices. While fuel surcharges are mitigating direct impact, we acknowledge that prolonged uncertainty may increase inflationary pressure and impact consumer spending.

“At E-commerce, the strategic transition from volume to value is progressing through sharper customer segmentation, differentiated propositions and disciplined volume steering. This involves deliberate contract negotiations that may come with temporary pressure on volumes whilst execution on our volume-to-value strategy. Targeted yield measures are gaining traction and are expected to build further momentum during the year as new contracts are rolled out.

“At Platforms, international growth is accelerating via our asset-light models Spring and MyParcel, with European e‑commerce driving volume and revenue growth. The value‑focused approach equally applies to our Asian e‑commerce activities.

“From mid-July 2026, the standard delivery framework for mail will be extended to within two days, while faster delivery at a different rate remains an option. Preparations for this major operational transition are on track. This change marks an important intermediate step towards safeguarding a future-proof postal service for everyone in the Netherlands. To achieve long‑term viability a further shift to delivery within three business days as well as net cost compensation in transitional years are necessary. It is crucial that clear and timely political decisions to amend the Postal Act are taken to avoid further delays. Meanwhile, we have formally initiated legal proceedings regarding compensation for the net costs of the USO and the withdrawal of the current designation. Furthermore, a timely completion of the tender process for government mail, under appropriate conditions, is key for the longer-term perspective in the postal market.

“Overall, normalised EBIT and cash flow are developing in line with expectations, following the usual seasonal pattern. We confirm our 2026 outlook for normalised EBIT to be between €40 million and €70 million, resulting in a free cash flow between €0 and €(30) million. 2026 will be fully dedicated to disciplined execution of our new strategy and we expect to reach the inflection point in the trajectory towards delivering on our Breakthrough 2028 ambition.”

About PostNL

We are PostNL. For more than 225 years, we have been part of society and here for everyone. With 31,500 colleagues, an extensive network of 5,700 PostNL locations, 10,000 letterboxes, 1,400 automated parcel lockers, and millions of users of the PostNL app, we are always close by. Together with our partners, we operate in 190 countries worldwide. Our mission is clear: connected to deliver what drives us all forward. Through our strategy, we grow our business, create sustainable value, lead through innovation and make an impact that matters. On an average weekday, we deliver 1.2 million parcels and 6 million letters. We improve our networks with smart solutions, innovate with AI and tech for our customers and promote future-proof employment relationships for employees and partners. At the same time, we are making our delivery operations more sustainable: we cover many kilometres on foot and by bicycle and increasingly use cleaner fuels and electric vehicles. PostNL N.V. is a publicly listed company with a revenue of €3.3 billion in 2025.

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